Top Page | English | 简体中文 | 繁體中文 | 한국어 | 日本語
Tuesday, 10 May 2016, 12:01 HKT/SGT

Source: YPO
YPO: Economic Confidence among Asian CEOs Holds Steady in First Quarter of 2016
Business leaders stay optimistic as Chinese economy stabilises and confidence levels in India jump

HONG KONG, May 10, 2016 - (ACN Newswire) - YPO, the premier network of global business leaders and chief executives, today announced that economic sentiment for Asia remained steady at an optimistic 60.0 in the first quarter of this year, despite significant fluctuations in confidence within the region. The YPO Global Pulse reported that business leaders in the region are now the second most confident in the world, trailing their counterparts in the European Union.

The marginal rise in confidence amongst business leaders in the region comes after better-than-anticipated GDP growth in China, allaying fears of a dramatic economic slowdown in the country. Sentiment in China, the region's largest economy, improved by 2.0 points in the first quarter of 2016 to 64.0, representing a higher than the average confidence level for the country.

However, there were marked differences in trajectory between countries within the region. India and Singapore reported significant increases in confidence, whilst Japan, Hong Kong and Philippines all experienced a decline in sentiment.

India, in particular, witnessed a rebound in confidence level, surging 5.6 points from 60.8 in the last quarter of 2015 to 66.4 in the first quarter of this year. Economic growth in India is being fueled by a vibrant service sector, as India has become a major exporter of business outsourcing services.

"The general feeling seems to be that there are strong opportunities for growth and expansion, but CEOs will be cautious about taking on too much risk in the current economic environment," said Paul Tao, managing director of New Heritage Investments Limited and network officer in YPO Hong Kong Chapter. "Increased confidence seems to be returning in the major economies of China and India, which would bode well for the entire Asian region going forward."

Globally, in the first quarter of 2016, the YPO Global Pulse Index composite score remained steady at 58.3, reflecting a stable economic outlook. Confidence in Africa increased 2.2 points to a relatively positive 53.2 while confidence in the United States edged up 0.5 point to 59.6. Confidence in the European Union climbed 1.1 points to 61.6 while in Latin America confidence significantly declined by 3.6 points to 50.8.

Key Findings in Asia

Sales, employment and fixed investment outlooks unchanged in first quarter.
There was little movement from the previous quarter across the three major indexes in the survey, tracking sales, employment and fixed investment. The YPO Sales Confidence Index for Asia remained flat, up 0.3 point in the first quarter 2016 to 66.7, with 59% of CEOs expecting an increase in sales over the next year. The Employment Index for Asia slipped 0.3 point to 56.7, with 30% of CEOs forecasting an increase in headcount in the next 12 months. Only 7% expected the size of their workforce to shrink in that period, suggesting that employment levels may improve across the region. The Investment Index for Asia rose 0.5 point to 61.4, as 45% of business leaders expected to increase fixed investment in the next year.

Regional Findings

Southeast Asia

ASEAN CEOs less optimistic as emerging economies struggle.
Confidence within the ASEAN countries fell away in the first quarter of 2016, as emerging economies in the region continued to feel the full effects of the Chinese economic slowdown.

The YPO Global Pulse Index for ASEAN countries - Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Brunei, Myanmar (Burma), Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam - fell 3.3 points to 56.9 in the first quarter 2016. Having rebounded in the fourth quarter 2015, after reaching a record low in the third quarter, confidence has eroded again to the extent that the ASEAN countries once again trail the wider regional score for Asia by more than 3 points.

North Asia

Contrasting stories for China and Japan.
Whilst confidence rebounded in China in the first quarter of 2016, boosted by GDP growth of 6.7%, it was a different story in Japan, where the rising value of the yen against the dollar has had a negative impact on Japanese trade and exports.

The YPO Global Pulse Index for Japan slipped 2.7 points to 54.3, its lowest level since the third quarter of 2012.

South Asia

Indian confidence surges back.
Confidence returned amongst YPO CEOs in India in the first three months of 2016. The World Bank stated that India was the fastest growing economy in the world last year, with 7.3% GDP growth, and the rate of expansion is forecast to increase to 7.5% this year.

The YPO Global Pulse Index for India rose 5.6 points to land at 66.4, putting it far ahead of the Asia composite score of 60.0 and ahead of all of the other leading economies in the world.


Most increase in confidence in Australasia.
The YPO Global Pulse Index for Australasia modestly increased 1.1 point in the first quarter of 2016, coming in at 59.3. More than a quarter (26%) of CEOs reported that economic conditions in the region had deteriorated over the previous six months, compared to 22% who believed that conditions had improved and 52% who felt conditions had remained the same. The picture is unlikely to change a great deal in the short term with 53% of members forecasting little or no change in economic conditions in the next six months.

However, CEOs in Australasia remained confident about the prospects of their own organisations over the next year, with each of the indices tracking sales, employment and fixed investment, increasing slightly. Almost two-thirds (61%) of CEOs expected to grow revenues, 35% expected to increase headcount, and 32% forecasted a rise in fixed investment in the next 12 months.

YPO Global Pulse Confidence Index

The quarterly electronic survey, conducted in the first two weeks of April 2016, gathered answers from 2,209 YPO chief executive officers across the globe, including 241 in Asia and 97 in Australasia. Visit for more information about the survey methodology and results from around the world.

About YPO

YPO is the premier chief executive leadership organization in the world, representing a global community of leaders committed to the shared mission of becoming "Better Leaders Through Lifelong Learning and Idea Exchange." YPO today provides more than 24,000 members in more than 130 countries with access to extraordinary educational resources, alliances with leading institutions, and specialized networks designed to support their business, community and personal leadership. Altogether, YPO member-run companies employ more than 15 million people around the world and generate USD6 trillion in annual revenues. For more information, visit

Linda Fisk
Office: +1-972-629-7305 (United States)
Mobile: +1-972-207-4298
[email protected]

May 10, 2016 12:01 HKT/SGT
Topic: Research / Industry Report
Sectors: Daily Finance, Daily News
From the Asia Corporate News Network

Copyright © 2019 ACN Newswire. All rights reserved. A division of Asia Corporate News Network.

View Image

Aug 8, 2017 12:01 HKT/SGT
YPO Global Pulse Survey: Asian chief executive confidence dips in second quarter, rises in Australasia
May 17, 2017 06:01 HKT/SGT
YPO Announces the 2017 Global Innovation Award Winners
May 9, 2017 12:01 HKT/SGT
YPO Global Pulse Survey: Asian chief executive confidence reaches two-year high
May 2, 2017 07:00 HKT/SGT
YPO Announces 2017 Global Innovation Award Finalists
Apr 25, 2017 06:10 HKT/SGT
'YPO Innovation Week' gathers innovators for 'Disruptive Business Models' in Hong Kong
Apr 25, 2017 05:10 HKT/SGT
'YPO Innovation Week' brings together global innovators in Melbourne, Australia
Apr 12, 2017 10:00 HKT/SGT
YPO Welcomes Premier 2017 YPO Innovation Week Partners
Mar 30, 2017 07:00 HKT/SGT
Singapore to Host World's Top Business Leaders at 2018 YPO EDGE
Mar 28, 2017 07:30 HKT/SGT
YPO Launches a New European Chapter in Rome, Italy
Mar 7, 2017 07:50 HKT/SGT
YPO's Annual EDGE Conference Makes Global Impact
More news >>
 News Alerts
Copyright © 2019 ACN Newswire - Asia Corporate News Network
Home | About us | Services | Partners | Events | Login | Contact us | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | RSS
US: +1 800 291 0906 | Beijing: +86 400 879 3881 | Hong Kong: +852 2217 2912 | Singapore: +65 6304 8926 | Tokyo: +81 3 6859 8575

Connect With us: